The 61% Print: A Forensic Audit of Polymarket's Hamas Disarmament Contract"
ntract", "article": "Sixty-one percent
Projects
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CryptoRay
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2026-08-02
#Polymarket
Polymarket related articles
The 27% That Wasn't: Why a Prediction Market Number Tells You Everything and Nothing
The pixel wasn't even fully loaded when I first saw it: 27%. A crisp, green...
Directory
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CryptoEagle
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2026-07-28
The 7.4% Signal: How Trump's Iran Comments Exposed the Oracle Gap in Geopolitical Prediction Markets
Listening to the errors that the metrics ignore — On May 21, a single set of...
Editorial
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CryptoWolf
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2026-07-26
Polymarket Fires Back at France: We’re Not Gambling—We’re the Canary in the Coal Mine
The party doesn’t stop in Paris—but Polymarket just called the bouncer’s bluf...
Special
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CryptoPrime
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2026-07-26
The 16.5% Signal: Why Prediction Markets Are Laughing at Your Oil Trade
A 0.3% oil price bump. A 16.5% probability on a prediction market. The market...
Projects
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CryptoAlpha
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2026-07-26
The Index That Saw Nothing: Why S&P’s Revenue Rule Exposes the Blindness in Our Valuation of Crypto
It began with a quiet deletion. On a Tuesday morning in March 2025, S&P Globa...
Projects
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CryptoPrime
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2026-07-26
The 35.5% Paradox: Why the Peace Prediction Market Is Telling You Your Bull Thesis Is Wrong
An Azerbaijani official confirms a secret meeting with Germany. The news hits...
Editorial
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CryptoZoe
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2026-07-25
When Insurance and Prediction Markets Diverge: A Smart Contract Architect’s Take on Oil Risk Pricing
The data point hits like a compiled error. Polymarket gives oil hitting an...
Products
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CryptoSignal
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2026-07-25
The 17% Probability: How a Ukrainian City Siege Is Testing Crypto’s Geopolitical Pricing
The chain says uncertainty, the order book says control. On Polymarket, the...
Business
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0xRay
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2026-07-23
The 27.5% Signal: Decoding Polymarket’s US-Iran Invasion Contract Through On-Chain Order Flow
On May 15, 2025, Polymarket’s “US military invasion of Iran by 2027” contract...
On-chain
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StackShark
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2026-07-23
The 2.1% Myth: Why Trump's Ethics Rule and Polymarket's BTC Bet Reveal the Real Narrative Gap
The same week a Trump-backed ethics rule quietly advances to bar US officials...
Directory
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StackSignal
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2026-07-23
The First Federal Insider Trading Case on a Prediction Market: Polymarket's Regulatory Crossroads
It began with a single wallet address—an anonymous cluster of transactions th...
Academy
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LarkEagle
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2026-07-22
The Kharg Island Probability Trap: When Prediction Markets Become a Weapon of Mass Mispricing
When a prediction market jumps 5.2 percentage points on a single unverified...
Business
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CryptoPanda
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2026-07-22
The 84% Truce: When Prediction Markets Become Geopolitical Oracles
While the market sleeps, the ledger does not lie. This morning, a single data...
Scams
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CryptoRay
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2026-07-22
When Code Meets Conflict: How Prediction Markets Expose Iran’s Grey-Zone Theater
On May 23, 2024, a cryptic report surfaced on a fringe blockchain news outlet...
Products
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Leotoshi
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2026-07-21
Meme Coin or Geopolitical Hedge? My Forensic Take on PolyMarket’s Latest ‘Probability’
Hook: The 60-Basis-Point Anomaly A prediction market just priced an Iranian...
Directory
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CryptoNode
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2026-07-20
The 45.5% Signal: When a Prediction Market Quietly Replaces Mainstream Analysis
Hook The data suggests a single number is doing more work than a thousand...
Podcast
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Larktoshi
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2026-07-20
The 17.5% Signal: Russia's Ballistic Missile Barrage and the Fragile Crypto Consensus
Look at the silence in the order book. It's not a volatility spike, not a fla...
Editorial
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SatoshiStacker
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2026-07-20
Polymarket's 50% Stasis: The On-Chain Signal Buried in Jordan's 'Credible Threat'
The Polymarket contract for a Houthi attack on Jordan in May 2024 has sat at...
Academy
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CredWhale
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2026-07-19
The Polymarket Oracle: Decoding Iran's Probabilistic Nuclear Brinkmanship Through On-Chain Data
Tracing the logic gates back to the genesis block: the assumption that a...
DeFi
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CryptoSignal
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2026-07-19
The 12.5% Signal: How Ukrainian Drones Punctured Russia's Oil Ledger But Polymarket Kept Its Cool
The prediction market whisper was precise: 12.5% probability of oil hitting n...
DeFi
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CryptoFox
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2026-07-18
The 32.5% Signal: Why the CLARITY Act’s Low Odds Reveal Crypto’s Chronic Regulatory Stasis
The U.S. House Financial Services Committee just held a hearing on the CLARIT...
Business
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0xAnsem
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2026-07-18
The Kurdish Base Explosion: A Signal for Crypto's Next Liquidity Crisis
At 14:32 UTC, the Polymarket contract 'Iran Regime Collapse 2026' ticked from...
On-chain
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IvyWolf
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2026-07-18
The Oracle's Price: What the 44% Prediction Market Probability on Iran Reveals About Decentralized Truth
On the blockchain, a contract that settles the question of whether the United...
Special
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0xBen
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2026-07-18
The Kalshi $100k Leak: Why the Real Threat to Prediction Markets Isn't Insider Trading
On [date], a single wallet dropped $100k into a Trump speech outcome market o...
Features
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PompFox
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2026-07-18
The 0.9% Signal: How a Polymarket Bet Revealed the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Before Mainstream Media
The ledger remembers what the narrative forgets. On May 21, 2024, a single da...
Exchanges
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PowerPanda
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2026-07-17
The Polymarket Trader Who Had a 48% Win Rate and Still Lost $500K — Here’s The On-Chain Autopsy
Hook Prediction markets are built on a simple premise: crowds aggregate...
Business
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Raytoshi
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2026-07-08
Messi's Goal and the Ledger: Why On-Chain Prediction Markets Overreacted
The ledger doesn't lie. But the price oracle does—at least for a few blocks. ...
On-chain
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0xHasu
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2026-07-06
The CFTC's Counter-Move: Tracing the Ghost in Prediction Market Regulation
Last week, as I scanned the on-chain logs for Polymarket, I noticed a curious...
Podcast
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Hasutoshi
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2026-07-04
The FrosT Mirage: Esports, Prediction Markets, and the Inflated Narrative of 'Impact'
Hook Full Sense just signed FrosT — a mid-tier Valorant player from Global...
Academy
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PowerPrime
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2026-07-04